BEGIN:VCALENDAR VERSION:2.0 PRODID:-//132.216.98.100//NONSGML kigkonsult.se iCalcreator 2.20.4// BEGIN:VEVENT UID:20260306T125009EST-3593sxus7z@132.216.98.100 DTSTAMP:20260306T175009Z DESCRIPTION:By Keith W. Hipel (Department of Systems Design Engineering\, U niversity of Waterloo). As former President of the Academy of Science\, Ro yal society of Canada\, Prof. Hipel will be presenting the Miroslaw Romano wski Lecture. \n\nABSTRACT\n\nThe Graph Model for Conflict Resolution (GMC R) is applied to the explosive dispute that arose over the discovery of a carcinogen in the aquifer supplying water to the town of Elmira\, located in Southern Ontario\, Canada\, to demonstrate how one can realistically in vestigate conflict in order to obtain strategic insights for supporting in formed decision making. This highly divisive groundwater contamination con flict is utilized to explain a rich range of inherent capabilities of GMCR \, as well as worthwhile avenues for extensions\, which make GMCR a truly powerful decision technology for addressing challenging conflict situation s. Moreover\, the crucial importance of scientifically taking into account both the societal and physical systems aspects of this complex problem is emphasized within an interdisciplinary system of systems thinking perspec tive. A flexible preference elicitation method\, called option prioritizat ion\, is employed to obtain the relative preferences of each decision make r (DM) in the dispute over the states or scenarios which can occur\, based upon naturally expressed preference statements regarding the options or c ourses of actions available to the DMs. Solution concepts\, reflecting how a chess player thinks in terms of moves and counter-moves\, are utilized to mirror the ways humans may behave under conflict\, varying from short t o long term thinking and from risk-averse to risk-seeking outlooks. After ascertaining the best outcome that a DM can achieve on his or her own in a conflict\, coalition analysis is used to check if a DM can fare even bett er by cooperating with others. For the Elmira dispute\, potential equilibr ia or compromise resolutions are predicted and the reasons for the decisio n of two of the disputants to form a coalition and bring about a dramatic resolution to the conflict are explained. The ability of GMCR to capture e motions\, strength of preference\, attitudes\, misunderstandings (referred to as hypergames)\, and uncertain preferences (unknown\, fuzzy\, grey and probabilistic)\, greatly broadens its scope of applicability. Techniques for tracing how a conflict can evolve over time from a status quo state to a final specified outcome\, as well as how to handle hierarchical structu res\, such as when a central government interacts with its provinces or st ates\, further enforce the comprehensive nature of GMCR. In fact\, an Arti ficial Intelligence algorithm is available to determine how DMs in a confl ict must think in terms of preference in order to reach a desirable outcom e in what is called the inverse engineering problem. Learning how DMs may think allows creativity in purposefully directing a dispute towards a win/ win resolution.\n\nBIOGRAPHY\n\nKeith W. Hipel is University Professor of Systems Design Engineering at the University of Waterloo where he is Coord inator of the Conflict Analysis Group. He is Former President of the Acade my of Science within the Royal Society of Canada\, Senior Fellow of the Ce ntre for International Governance Innovation\, Fellow of the Balsillie Sch ool of International Affairs\, and Past-Chair of the Board of Governors of Renison University College. Dr. Hipel thoroughly enjoys mentoring student s and is a recipient of the Distinguished Teacher Award\, Faculty of Engin eering Teaching Excellence Award\, and the Award of Excellence in Graduate Supervision from the University of Waterloo\, as well as the Outstanding Engineering Educator Award from IEEE Canada. His major research interests are the development of conflict resolution\, multiple criteria decision an alysis\, time series analysis and other decision-making methodologies for addressing complex interdisciplinary system of systems engineering problem s lying at the confluence of society\, technology and the environment\, wi th applications in water resources management\, hydrology\, environmental engineering\, energy\, and sustainable development. Prof. Hipel is the aut hor or co-author of 5 books\, 12 edited books\, more than 325 journal pape rs\, as well as many conference and encyclopedia articles (over 14\,100 ci tations\; H-index = 55\, i10-index = 260). Dr. Hipel is the recipient of t he Officer of the Order of Canada title\; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) Eminent Scientist Award\; Joseph G. Wohl Outstanding Car eer Award from the IEEE Systems\, Man and Cybernetics (SMC) Society\; IEEE SMC Norbert Wiener Award\; three Honorary Doctorate degrees (France\, Hun gary\, Canada)\; Miroslaw Romanowski Medal and the Sir John William Dawson Medal (Royal Society of Canada)\; Ven Te Chow Award from the Environmenta l and Water Resources Institute\, American Society of Civil Engineers\; Ji angsu Friendship Medal\; Engineering Medal for Research and Development fr om Professional Engineers Ontario\; and Foreign Member designation of the National Academy of Engineering of the United States of America.\n\n \n DTSTART:20190314T220000Z DTEND:20190314T230000Z LOCATION:Auditorium\, Redpath Museum\, CA\, QC\, Montreal\, H3A 0C4\, 859 r ue Sherbrooke Ouest SUMMARY:Cutting Edge Lecture in Science: Negotiations over Groundwater Cont amination URL:/redpath/channels/event/cutting-edge-lecture-scien ce-negotiations-over-groundwater-contamination-287625 END:VEVENT END:VCALENDAR